Obama's Victory Speech

It's worth watching!

Iowa Caucus Day!: Another Late Poll

Here's the latest ARG poll (this time for sure) that completely contradicts the other Zogby poll released this morning. This poll shows Clinton with the lead and with the momentum! The Zogby poll showed Clint in 3rd and fading, and with Obama and Edwards with the momentum.

Clinton 34 (31)
Obama 25 (24)
Edwards 21 (24)

What does all this mean? I have no clue anymore. It's anyones race.......

Could be a long evening.

Caucus day in Iowa

A good post from MyDD that I'm putting on here because, well....I want to!

by Jerome Armstrong, Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 11:45:36 AM EST

ARG polling has Clinton up by 9 percent, outside the MOE, and DMR has Obama up by 8 pecent, outside the MOE. Zogby finds Obama and Edwards with the momentum, with Obama overtaking Clinton. Edwards has the best final television ads....

I think if you are looking, you can find something that you like that says either of the three candidates will win tonight. One thing that's not been talked about a lot is the social pressure that will happen tonight. This is the part that happens with the 'undecided' voters walk into the caucus room and... look for their friends and community leaders. This was a big deal-maker for Kerry in 2004. It's something a poll cannot measure not predict.

I wouldn't place much in whatever Biden or Richardson tell their supporters about whom to go to for second choice. It just doesn't work that way. If they are not viable, the people already have their second choice in mind, the viable candidates will have representatives there making the pitch for each of their candidates.

The media narrative being expected for Iowa is that Obama is going to win; that Edwards might win; that Clinton is fading-- this might not be what the reporters here are writing but it's what they are saying.

I expect Obama to win, I'd be shocked to see Clinton win, but I'm rooting for Edwards to win.

Last night, hearing John Edwards speak, I came out of there rooting for him to win Iowa-- I want a nomination battle. His speech was so good that I found myself ranking it in the top three of all-time that I've heard delivered, right up there with hearing Jesse Jackson speak in Portland OR during the'88 battle, and Howard Dean's 'I want to know' speech in the CA Dem convention of '03. Edwards was that good.

Iowa Caucus Day!: It looks like Obama

So much for my bold prediction of a Hillary win yesterday. If I could change my mind today it seems everything is pointing to an Obama victory. The polls show Obama's and Edwards' numbers trending up and Hillary's numbers trending down. In fact, in the last poll that will be released before the vote tonight (Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby) Hillary has fallen all the way to 3rd place.

Obama - 31%
Edwards - 27%
Clinton - 24%

If these numbers prove to be true tonight it spells big trouble for Clinton. With Obama pulling even or even taking the lead in New Hampshire, depending on the poll, it could mean the end for Hillary and for the nomination. If Obama pulls out Iowa and New Hampshire it's over. That's the same thing I've been saying about Hillary, but now it looks as if Obama may be the one to run away with it. The only hope for an extended race is an Edwards win in Iowa. Edwards probably won't win NH, so the race would probably go on to Super Tuesday.

Unredacted: Interviews on the JFK Assassination

These are a series of interviews with authors and researchers on the assassination of JFK. I came across these on my new favorite site for research on the JFK assassination, Mary Farrell. If you're interested, these are very good discussions of various aspects of the assassination and these authors books are great reads. I haven't read all of them, but I have read A Farewell to Justice - Joan Mellen, and Someone Would Have Talked - Larry Hancock is on the top of my reading list and I've heard great things about it. Anyway, have a listen or at least bookmark Mary Farrell for further reference.

Episode 1: Interview with Joan Mellen

Recorded on: 22 Feb 2006
Joan Mellen discusses her book, A Farewell to Justice, and her views on Jim Garrison, his investigation and its suspects, and the government/media effort to discredit him.

Episode 2: Interview with Jefferson Morley and Jim Lesar

Recorded on: 22 Mar 2006
Washington Post Online writer Jefferson Morley and AARC President Jim Lesar discuss their lawsuit against the CIA, demanding records on George Joannides. In 1978 Joannides had been CIA liaison to the HSCA, but had not revealed his earlier role in the JFK case. Back in 1963, Joannides was case officer for the DRE, the Cuban exile groups with whom Oswald had multiple interactions that summer in New Orleans.

Episode 3: Interview with Josiah Thompson

Recorded on: 5 Apr 2006
Longtime expert and author Josiah Thompson (Six Seconds in Dallas) discusses the many mysteries of Commission Exhibit 399, the "magic bullet," and other aspects of the JFK case. See also Bedrock Evidence in the Kennedy Assassination, Thompson's new essay which forcefully argues for the authenticity of the Zapruder film.

Episode 4: Interview with Don Thomas

Recorded on: 14 Jun 2006
Don Thomas, who in 2001 revived the debate about the House Select Committee's "acoustics evidence," discusses his work and what that evidence says about the gunfire in Dealey Plaza.

Episode 5: Interview with Martin Schotz

Recorded on: 14 Dec 2006
Martin Schotz, author of History Will Not Absolve Us, discusses the "false mystery" around the murder of President Kennedy, core evidence which leads to the conclusion that it was a state crime, and the public denial surrounding the entire affair.

Episode 6: Interview with David Talbot

Recorded on: 2 May 2007
David Talbot, founder of Salon.com and author of the new book Brothers: The Hidden History of the Kennedy Years, discusses Robert Kennedy's reaction to his brother's murder, the knowledge and suspicions of conspiracy held in elite circles, recent stories including the confession of Howard Hunt, and more.

Episode 7: Interview with Larry Hancock

Recorded on: 30 May 2007
Larry Hancock is author of Someone Would Have Talked, which shatters the oft-repeated canard that no one did. In this interview, selected topics from the book and Larry's extensive research are discussed. Larry is also active in JFK Lancer and organizes the annual November in Dallas conference in Dallas.

Episode 8: Interview with Jefferson Morley and David Talbot

Recorded on: 18 Jul 2007
Washington Post Online writer Jefferson Morley and author David Talbot discuss their investigation into the BBC's allegation that three senior CIA officers were at the Ambassador Hotel the night Robert Kennedy were killed. This interview accompanies their article entitled The BBC's Flawed RFK Story, presented by the Mary Ferrell Foundation and including the first photographs of George Joannides ever published.

Episode 9: Interview with Burton Hersh

Recorded on: 26 Oct 2007
Burton Hersh is the author of several books, most recently Bobby and J. Edgar, which retells the Kennedy saga with particular focus on the relationship between Attorney General Robert Kennedy and FBI Director J. Edgar Hoover.

Episode 10: Interview with John Kelin

Recorded on: 4 Dec 2007
John Kelin is the creator of the Fair Play web-based JFK assassination journal,and is the author of Praise from a Future Generation, a unique book about the early critics of the Warren Commission.

1 Day to Iowa Caucus: Still too close to call (But A Final Prediction from MarxistGopher)

Candidate	Zogby (trend)	Strategic Vision (trend)	Pollster
Clinton	28 (30)	27 (29)	29.4
Obama	28 (26)	32 (30)	27.0
Edwards	26 (25)	29 (28)	25.1

Yesterday, Dennis Kucinich told his supporters to caucus for Barack Obama if he doesn't have a viable delegate in a precinct. Given that Kucinich was polling at 1% in most polls, this probably won't swing the election to Obama! ;-)

Still looks like anyone can win, but these polls don't show the great news for Obama that the DMR poll did. I think it's setting up well for Hillary unfortunately. I'm predicting a Hillary win tomorrow night. That's the official call from Marxist Gopher.

2 Days to Iowa Caucus: Obama with Huge Lead???

Yesterday the Des Moines Register released it's final poll before Thursday's caucus. It showed Barack Obama opening up a huge lead:

Obama - 32
Clinton - 25
Edwards - 24

I'm skeptical of this poll b/c it doesn't seem to jive with other polls released in the last few days that show a virtual 3-way tie.

Not surprisingly, the Clinton and Edwards campaigns have released statements taking issue with the DMR poll.

In this case I actually agree with them. Obama's support seems to be coming mostly from "new voters" or first time caucus goers. Edwards' and Clinton's support is coming from Democratic party loyalists. In 2004 Dean's support came from these "new voters" as well, and we saw what happened to them. Many won't show up, and even if they do they are unfamiliar with the politics of the caucus system. Edwards and Clinton supporters will be much more knowledgeable and more likely to show up on a cold January night to caucus for their candidate.

Ralph Nader endorsed John Edwards

Read the article from Politico.

4 Days to Iowa Caucuses: Another Day, Another Poll

This sexy poll just came out from MSNBC. It doesn't show us anything we didn't already know....it's very close. I like that it shows Edwards in front though!