Thursday, January 03, 2008

Iowa Caucus Day!: It looks like Obama

So much for my bold prediction of a Hillary win yesterday. If I could change my mind today it seems everything is pointing to an Obama victory. The polls show Obama's and Edwards' numbers trending up and Hillary's numbers trending down. In fact, in the last poll that will be released before the vote tonight (Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby) Hillary has fallen all the way to 3rd place.

Obama - 31%
Edwards - 27%
Clinton - 24%

If these numbers prove to be true tonight it spells big trouble for Clinton. With Obama pulling even or even taking the lead in New Hampshire, depending on the poll, it could mean the end for Hillary and for the nomination. If Obama pulls out Iowa and New Hampshire it's over. That's the same thing I've been saying about Hillary, but now it looks as if Obama may be the one to run away with it. The only hope for an extended race is an Edwards win in Iowa. Edwards probably won't win NH, so the race would probably go on to Super Tuesday.

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