Thursday, January 31, 2008

Polls, Polls, Polls

Thought I'd post some recent poll results that have come out since the Florida primary. They all show Obama closing the gap with Clinton, but don't show him going ahead. If this is indeed the trend, and it continues through Super Tuesday it could be a very good day for Obama. It's very hard to keep this kind of momentum going for any period of time. It should be noted, however, that all of these numbers are before John Edwards announced he was dropping out of the race. And we don't yet know how that will affect the race.

California (Rasmussen)
Clinton - 43
Obama - 40

McCain - 32
Romney - 28
Huckabee - 11

Connecticut (Rasmussen)
Clinton - 40
Obama - 40
Edwards - 11

McCain - 42
Romney - 26
Giuliani - 12

Illinois (Rasmussen)
McCain - 34
Romney - 26
Huckabee - 16

Massachusetts (Rasmussen)
Clinton - 43
Obama - 37

New York (PPP)
Clinton - 45
Obama - 33
Edwards - 10

McCain - 34
Giuliani - 20
Romney - 19

Tennessee (PPP)
Clinton - 43
Obama - 32
Edwards - 16

Huckabee - 30
McCain - 26
Romney - 22


Minnesota
(MPR/Humphrey Institute)
Clinton - 40
Obama - 33
Edwards - 12
Undecided - 13
Other - 2

McCain - 41
Huckabee - 22
Romney - 17
Guiliani - 6
Paul - 5
Undecided - 10


Election day is still more than nine months away, and the presidential nominees are far from decided. But Larry Jacobs said the poll results on head-to-head match ups show Minnesota could heavily favor the Democratic candidate in November.

"Obama and Clinton have opened up sizeable double digit leads over all the Republican candidates," Jacobs said. "Obama is ahead of McCain by 13 points. Clinton has got a 10 point advantage over McCain. And then when you turn to the Huckabee and Romney and Giuliani matchups, the leads are substantially larger."

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