14 Days to Iowa Caucus: Edwards making a run at it?

Things are looking up for Edwards in Iowa again! And Hillary seems to be fading. This is not good news for her at all. An Insider Advantage poll shows Obama at 27%, Edwards at 26%, and Hillary fading to 24%. A Washington Post , however, shows Obama at 33%, Hillary at 29%, and Edwards at 20%. It's basically still anyones to grab. I could write my own synopsis of all this, but I'm feeling lazy this morning, so I just quote from the votemaster over at my favorite site this time of the year, Electoral-Vote

"We have three new polls for Iowa and two new ones for New Hampshire. Bottom line: it is too close to call in both states. One new development is Edwards is creeping up again in Iowa. What is also significant is that he is the overwhelming second choice of the also-rans' supporters. Does does it matter that a Kucinich voter has Edwards as his or her second choice? As it turns out, it does due to the way the Iowa Democratic caucuses work. When voters show up, they go to separate corners of the room to talk ("caucus") over their favorites, then there is a plenary session in which a public vote is taken. Any candidate getting fewer than 15% of the votes (think: Kucinich) is deemed not viable and eliminated. Then the voters recaucus (if such a word exists). Where the Kucinich, Dodd, Biden, Gravel, and Richardson voters go now matters a lot. If they gravitate to Edwards, he could win the caucuses.

Just below is a table listing the current status of all six early states. The polling data given is the end date of the most recent poll. Any other polls within a week of that date are averaged in. Note that South Carolina suffers from a split personality: Republicans vote on Jan. 19 and Democrats vote a week later. While Iowa is swinging around wildly, Hillary Clinton has leads in the other five states. Of course a big Edwards or Obama win in Iowa could reshuffle the deck. On the Republican side anything can happen."

State	Vote	Poll	Democrat	Republican
Iowa	Jan. 3	Dec. 17	Obama +5%	Huckabee +2%
New Hampshire	Jan. 8	Dec. 19	Clinton +10%	Romney +12%
Michigan	Jan. 15	Nov. 13	Clinton +31%	Giuliani +3%
Nevada	Jan. 19	Dec. 6	Clinton +18%	Romney +3%
South Carolina	Jan. 26/19	Dec. 16	Clinton +4%	Huckabee +4%
Florida	Jan. 29	Dec 16.	Clinton +16%	Huckabee +2%

Be sure to check out and vote in MarxistGopher Poll #2 on the Iowa Caucuses!